Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.024501 0.026977 0.029437 0.032060 0.034770 0.037485 0.040404
2025-01-26 0.020255 0.024257 0.028354 0.032836 0.037574 0.042413 0.047710
2025-02-02 0.016885 0.021845 0.027059 0.032883 0.039148 0.045638 0.052827
2025-02-09 0.013713 0.019258 0.025247 0.032069 0.039523 0.047339 0.056083
2025-02-16 0.011817 0.017869 0.024560 0.032305 0.040869 0.049930 0.060140
2025-02-23 0.010035 0.016437 0.023689 0.032216 0.041751 0.051922 0.063455
2025-03-02 0.008389 0.015017 0.022720 0.031921 0.042321 0.053500 0.066249
2025-03-09 0.007046 0.013845 0.021954 0.031783 0.043000 0.055139 0.069053
2025-03-16 0.005575 0.012372 0.020741 0.031059 0.042962 0.055938 0.070890
2025-03-23 0.004676 0.011562 0.020270 0.031152 0.043807 0.057677 0.073721
2025-03-30 0.003661 0.010480 0.019403 0.030729 0.044026 0.058685 0.075716
2025-04-06 0.002677 0.009306 0.018351 0.030039 0.043898 0.059273 0.077215
2025-04-13 0.001484 0.007643 0.016688 0.028699 0.043153 0.059332 0.078328
2025-04-20 0.001082 0.007264 0.016731 0.029481 0.044932 0.062300 0.082750
2025-04-27 0.000588 0.006513 0.016213 0.029533 0.045829 0.064250 0.086020
2025-05-04 0.000125 0.005395 0.015081 0.028754 0.045700 0.064996 0.087908
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.004872 0.014761 0.028980 0.046745 0.067064 0.091259
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004247 0.014227 0.028894 0.047389 0.068649 0.094044
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003590 0.013571 0.028612 0.047770 0.069906 0.096438
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003053 0.013051 0.028479 0.048309 0.071331 0.099003
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002352 0.012147 0.027787 0.048134 0.071900 0.100574
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002003 0.011829 0.027876 0.048908 0.073566 0.103382
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001527 0.011179 0.027471 0.049049 0.074472 0.105307